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Friday, April 24, 2020

COVID-19 is 5 to 10-fold more lethal and flu and can find about 8-fold more victims in absence of proactive disease policing

Why should we expect 50 fold more lethal damage from 
uncontrolled  COVID-19 than from seasonal influenza ? 
About 8-fold lethality multiplied by about 8-fold more people who are susceptible  is more than 50-fold total death.
(Using Claus Wilke's efforts)


See later post

Update on sources (July 2021)

WHO 2020. Coronavirus disease (COVID-19): Similarities and differences with influenza

17 March 2020 | Q&A 

From <https://www.who.int/news-room/q-a-detail/coronavirus-disease-covid-19-similarities-and-differences-with-influenza>

Wong, Jessica Y.; Kelly, Heath; Ip, Dennis K. M.; Wu, Joseph T.; Leung, Gabriel M.; Cowling, Benjamin J. Case Fatality Risk of Influenza A (H1N1pdm09), Epidemiology: November 2013 - Volume 24 - Issue 6 - p 830-841 doi: 10.1097/EDE.0b013e3182a67448

Infection fatality rate 1 to 10 per 100,000 infections.

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